We’re mere hours away from Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL season kicking off.
Earlier than I get into a couple of actionable spots in each the primary and participant prop markets for these video games, I already wrote up articles about Week 1 bets this offseason and a Week 1 energy scores article, which featured the next wagers already given out.
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New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks beneath 44.5.
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Atlanta Falcons +3 is now at +3.5 due to some Falcons defensive accidents.
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers +4 at Cincinnati Bengals .
All of those are nonetheless actionable along with the next performs I’m including on.
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New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks (-3.5, 44.5)
Regardless of this being a Tremendous Bowl rematch to kick off the 2026 NFL season, plenty of items within the recreation have modified. The Seahawks misplaced key components of their protection, most notably security Coby Bryant to the Bears, and defensive again Riq Woolen and edge rusher Boye Mafe in free company. Nick Emmanwori has additionally popped up on the latest Seahawks harm report and beat writers are saying he’s truly prone to miss the sport. Seattle’s stout protection has some holes now.
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This creates a bonus for brand new Patriots WR AJ Brown to dominate. He’s going to get a ton of utilization, be a major pink zone menace and he can win within the deep passing and explosive playmaking recreation. There have been rumors Drake Maye’s shoulder was damage final postseason, and maybe a while to get better will present higher field-stretching skill for Maye in opposition to a weaker Seahawks secondary.
The perfect odds in market to assault that is AJ Brown anytime landing at +165 odds.
Wager: AJ Brown anytime TD +165
Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles (-4.5, 44.5)
Soccer is a recreation of inches, one that’s usually gained within the trenches. Whereas the talent gamers get all the popularity, merely being the higher offensive and line of defense are main benefits in video games. Philadelphia ought to dominate Washington on either side of the road this recreation.
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Wager the Philadelphia Eagles -4.5 proper now
In response to the Trench Report by Scott Seidenberg, the Eagles rank because the second-best group in offensive and line of defense talent whereas the Commanders rank thirtieth. My preseason energy scores additionally value this recreation at Eagles -6.2, and to cement the play, the road motion in market has been backing the Eagles in opposition to the unfold.
I like each the Eagles unfold and moneyline right here. Proper now at BetMGM, the unfold is Eagles -4.5 (-110) and moneyline -235. A selection-to-moneyline conversion places this at -224 at equal worth, so proper now I might select to play this -4.5 (-110). If the numbers transfer, use these tips as a technique to know what greatest line to decide on.
Wager: Eagles -4.5
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Denver Broncos at Kansas Metropolis Chiefs (-2.5, 43.5)
That is primarily a market learn guess, however I’ll add on some soccer perspective as effectively.
The Chiefs opened as three-point favorites over the Broncos, and subsequently the entire Denver +3 strains had been guess and brought out of the market. As a result of 3 is such a key quantity, and we noticed the market purchase Denver +3, I believe it’s protected to say we don’t see that line reappear.
We will nonetheless play Denver +2.5 at solely -102 vig, which seems like a ground value on Denver. To me, ground costs are engaging as a result of I do not see a practical chance the place the road will get worse and strikes in opposition to you, and I do see an opportunity it nonetheless positive factors additional worth. The asymmetry is value enjoying into.
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From an on-field perspective, Mahomes is coming off of a torn ACL late final season and is unlikely to be as cellular as he was for almost all of final 12 months. The Chiefs talent place gamers have questions, too: Rashee Rice additionally had a knee surgical procedure that he needed to rehab whereas serving a jail sentence; Travis Kelce is a 12 months older, a 12 months slower, and going in opposition to a really sturdy Broncos linebacker group; and Kenneth Walker is becoming a member of a brand new group the place he hasn’t had common season reps with a brand new offensive line and run scheme.
For these causes, I can see Kansas Metropolis struggling to construct offensive momentum in opposition to one of many league’s greatest defenses.
Wager: Broncos +2.5 (-102) and a few Broncos ML (+120)
