The victory of the Manchester Cityover Burnley (0-1) certified the ‘changing of the guard’ in the Premier League. He ‘Pep Team’, that came to be nine points from Arsenal, was placed leader thanks… to the goals in favor.
With five days left, ‘sky blues’ and ‘gunners’ are tied both in points (70) as in the ‘general goal average’ (+37), the main tiebreaker in the fight for the League. City, however, is above the having scored more goals: 66 vs. 63.
“Winning is the only thing that matters. We have to win at any cost, yes, but we have to do something to win. We have to run, jump, pass and shoot. In terms of what I had asked of the team we have been extraordinary. “We played very well,” vindicated Pep Guardiola
Winning is the only thing that matters. We have to win at any price
The curious thing is that the ‘Opta’ supercomputerdespite the ‘surprise‘, keep giving like favorite to the team of Mikel Arteta. He still has a 65.5% chance of winning the title. The new leader, on the other hand, is ‘only’ given a 34.5%.
It is far away, yes, the 97.6% of options win the Premier that he supercomputer he even attributed to the ‘gunners’ a little over a month ago, the March 14. Arsenal’s bad moment – two defeats in the last three Premier League games – has created a new scenario.
The defeat of Arteta’s team at the Etihad (1-2) marked a turning point. City’s chances of winning the League, always according to ‘Opta’, ‘doubled’: they rose from 14% to 28%.
“I don’t know, I don’t have a machine to measure your blood pressure, or how you feel. Whether you are nervous or not. I am sure, however, that going forward this will be positive for City. “The more experience you have in these types of situations, the better you will handle them,” Guardiola recognized.
The more experience you have in these types of situations, the better you will handle them.
The explanation why City is still not a favorite for ‘Opta’ is simple: supercomputer attributes a greater difficulty to the calendar what lies ahead City (coefficient 90, including Burnley) than that of Arsenal (88.3).
This is the calendar that awaits City and Arsenal
The calendar of Manchester City and Arsenal.
The ‘ghost’ of 2022-23 reappears at Arsenal
The ‘desert crossing’ of Arsenal to conquer your first league from ‘The Invincibles’ (2004) It is being especially hard. Since the arrival of Mikel Arteta in December 2019, Only Liverpool (620) have ‘slept’ more days as the leader (620) than the Gunners (539).
Furthermore, according to ‘Opta’, Arteta He is, by far, the coach who for more days (539) has topped the classification without winning the title. It follows, from afar, Kevin Keegan, with 339.
The history of 2022-23 seems to repeat itself. He Arsenal was leader for almost the entire course – he was eight points ahead in March – and the supercomputer he came to attribute a ‘peak’ of 95% of options conquer the Premier.
The script is almost carbon copy. Three consecutive draws against Liverpool (2-2), West Ham (2-2) and Southampton (3-3) The alarms went off and City, who also then had to make up pending games, completed the turnaround, beating Arsenal (4-1) at the Etihad. Will history repeat itself? We will see…
