Jaylen Warren is taking part in the most effective soccer of his profession, whereas Dak Prescott, Matthew Golden and Ollie Gordon II have alternatives to ship in favorable spots.
A positive matchup can’t rescue a participant who is just not getting the soccer. We would like gamers with established roles, dependable quantity and an opponent that may assist flip these alternatives into fantasy manufacturing.
That brings us to 4 gamers from 4 totally different groups. Warren is the strongest play of the group. Prescott has an opportunity to rebound, Golden has professional WR1 general upside and Gordon is an aggressive flex possibility for managers coping with accidents or bye weeks.
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Jaylen Warren, RB, Steelers vs. Saints
That is a global recreation in Paris, France, with a 9:30 a.m. ET kickoff, however the Steelers are profitable video games proper now. Aaron Rodgers has been the most effective quarterbacks within the NFL over the previous month, and Warren is giving Pittsburgh a harmful possibility on the bottom.
Over his final 4 video games, Warren has dealt with 63 carries and has drawn 20 targets. He ran for 127 yards in opposition to Cincinnati, produced 126 complete yards in opposition to Cleveland after which exploded for 188 complete yards with two touchdowns in opposition to Indianapolis.
Tampa Bay held him to 78 complete yards final week, however Warren nonetheless performed 75% of the offensive snaps and dealt with 18 alternatives. The function stays sturdy, even when the fantasy end result is just not spectacular.
Rico Dowdle has a task. He serves a function on this backfield, however he’s additionally coping with a knee damage. Warren has been the extra harmful participant and the again Pittsburgh can use on the bottom or by the passing recreation.
Now, he will get a Saints protection permitting 29.7 fantasy factors per recreation to working backs, the best mark within the league. New Orleans can be permitting 4.88 yards per carry to the place and has surrendered the league’s highest speeding success charge to opposing backs.
Pittsburgh enters this recreation as the higher workforce. If the Steelers can play from forward, Warren ought to stay concerned all through the afternoon. Even when New Orleans forces Rodgers to throw, Warren’s receiving function retains him on the sector.
I’m not staying away from Warren in any respect. The matchup is true, the workload is safe and he’s taking part in with extra explosiveness than we’ve seen from him at any level in his profession. Warren is a agency RB2 with the upside to complete inside the highest 12.
Dak Prescott, QB, Cowboys at Eagles
It has not been fairly for Prescott over the past two weeks. He threw for 574 mixed yards in opposition to Tampa Bay and Inexperienced Bay, however that manufacturing got here with solely two landing passes and 4 interceptions. He completed outdoors the top-20 fantasy quarterbacks in each video games.
I perceive why fantasy managers are annoyed. I’m nonetheless keen to return to him in opposition to Philadelphia.
The amount has not disappeared. Prescott tried 42 passes in opposition to Tampa Bay and a season-high 54 in opposition to Inexperienced Bay. He has thrown for greater than 250 yards in 5 consecutive video games. Dallas remains to be placing the offense on his shoulders, even when the touchdowns haven’t adopted lately.
Philadelphia has allowed a minimum of 19 fantasy factors to 4 of the final 5 quarterbacks it has confronted. The Eagles will not be producing constant strain, both. Their strain charge ranks within the backside half of the league, which ought to give Prescott extra time to let routes develop.
That issues with the weapons Dallas can placed on the sector. CeeDee Lamb can win from anyplace. George Pickens provides Prescott a vertical possibility, and Ryan Flournoy can work beneath when Philadelphia tries to restrict explosive performs.
Prescott should take higher care of the soccer. I’m not ignoring 4 interceptions in two video games. The purpose is that the passing quantity, obtainable weapons and matchup give him a transparent path again to helpful fantasy manufacturing.
Dallas might not want Prescott to try one other 50 passes, however 35 to 40 makes an attempt must be sufficient. Philadelphia has struggled to include opposing quarterbacks, and this can be a divisional recreation Dallas must win.
I’ve Prescott again within the low-end QB1 dialog. When you have been streaming quarterbacks or deciding between Dak and Patrick Mahomes in a tough matchup at Seattle, I favor Prescott this week.
Matthew Golden, WR, Packers at Lions
Golden is just not a speculative younger receiver anymore. He has turn into one of many central items of Inexperienced Bay’s passing recreation.
Over the past 4 video games, Golden has drawn 39 targets, caught 20 passes and produced 348 receiving yards with three touchdowns. He has exceeded 100 receiving yards in three of these 4 video games.
Final week in opposition to Dallas, Golden acquired 13 targets and completed with six catches for 104 yards and a landing. That represented a 32.5% goal share, his highest mark of the season. The Packers will not be merely manufacturing a couple of touches for him. Jordan Love is searching for Golden when Inexperienced Bay wants to maneuver the soccer.
This matchup matches the best way Love and Golden are taking part in. Love leads the league in makes an attempt touring a minimum of 20 yards downfield. Detroit ranks final in passing yards allowed per recreation and has been one of many NFL’s worst defenses in opposition to deep throws.
That’s the place Golden can harm them. He has the velocity to win vertically, however his latest goal totals present that he doesn’t want one lengthy landing to save lots of his fantasy day. Inexperienced Bay is utilizing him all through the formation and giving him alternatives at a number of ranges of the sector.
This recreation additionally carries the best projected level complete of Week 7 at 53.5. Detroit can rating, which ought to maintain Inexperienced Bay aggressive as an alternative of permitting the Packers to guard a lead with their working recreation.
The one factor we have to monitor is Golden’s shoulder damage. He was restricted throughout the first two practices of the week. That isn’t sufficient to maneuver me away from him, however fantasy managers must examine his last designation earlier than Sunday.
If Golden is cleared, I’m beginning him as a powerful WR2. The goal quantity provides him a steady flooring, and this matchup provides him a professional WR1 ceiling.
Ollie Gordon II, RB, Dolphins at Jets
Gordon is the aggressive play of the week. De’Von Achane is out for the season, and Miami has reshaped its working recreation round Gordon’s measurement and downhill type.
Over his final three video games, Gordon has carried the ball 44 occasions for 229 yards and three touchdowns. That’s 5.2 yards per carry. He ran for 100 yards on 9 makes an attempt in opposition to Minnesota, then adopted it with 18 carries for 88 yards and a landing in opposition to Cincinnati.
That second efficiency could also be extra necessary for fantasy managers. We already knew Gordon may create an explosive run. Receiving 18 carries confirmed that Miami is keen to provide him a professional lead-back workload.
Gordon has scored in all three video games since taking on the backfield. He’s forcing missed tackles, creating explosive runs and persistently getting extra yardage than Miami’s blocking supplies.
Now he faces a Jets protection permitting 105.8 speeding yards per recreation to working backs, the sixth-highest complete within the league. New York ranks within the backside third of the league in adjusted speeding yards allowed, whereas Miami’s offensive line has been creating sufficient room for Gordon to get downhill.
The priority is the sport setting. Miami is an underdog in one of many lowest-total video games of the week. Gordon additionally has restricted receiving involvement, so he could possibly be weak if the Dolphins fall behind early.
I’m keen to simply accept that danger as a result of the speeding quantity is actual. Gordon doesn’t want 25 touches to assist fantasy managers. If he receives one other 15 to 18 carries, his effectivity and goal-line function give him an opportunity to complete as an RB2.
