Inexperienced Bay Packers head coach Matt LaFleur shouts as he stands on the sector through the second half of an NFL soccer recreation in opposition to the Minnesota Vikings Sunday.
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The Inexperienced Bay Packers maintain bucking the percentages — and never in a great way.
4 occasions within the final 12 months the Packers held double digit leads late within the second half. Inexperienced Bay’s odds of profitable every of these video games independently ranged between 90-99%, relying on the competition.
The percentages of Inexperienced Bay going a collective 0-4 in these video games was 1-in-2.5 million — sure, 1-in-2.5 million.
But after the Packers gagged away one other recreation Sunday — this one a 39-22 meltdown in opposition to Minnesota — Inexperienced Bay is now a outstanding 0-4 in these contests.
First, the Packers blew a 10-0 result in Cleveland within the closing 3 minutes, 45 seconds in Week 3 of 2025 and fell, 13-10. Inexperienced Bay’s odds of profitable within the closing minutes that day have been 99%.
In Week 16 at Chicago final season, the Packers additionally had a 99% probability of profitable after they held a 16-6 with 2:05 left. Inexperienced Bay proceeded to lose that night time, 22-16, in extra time.
The Packers had a 96% probability of defeating Chicago of their Wild Card matchup after they held a 27-16 lead with 5 minutes left. As a substitute, the Bears scored the ultimate 15 factors and gained, 31-27.
And Sunday, Inexperienced Bay’s odds of defeating Minnesota stood at 90% when it held a 22-10 lead late within the third quarter. Amazingly, although, the Vikings scored the ultimate 29 factors of the sport and pulled away for a 39-22 win.
Usually, when a crew’s odds of profitable are 99%, 99%, 96% and 90%, it means a number of journeys to the winners circle. As a substitute, Inexperienced Bay’s 0-4 document had the identical sort of odds as getting struck by lightning a number of occasions.
“Gotta be capable to simply go on the market and drop your (testicles),” Packers tight finish Tucker Kraft mentioned. “Like, look throughout the road of scrimmage and say, ‘That man is just not going to beat me.’ ”
Inexperienced Bay retains getting beat in video games, although, the place it’s been in complete management.
It ruined the Packers’ season in 2025, and this yr’s opener was like watching the identical horror film.
“I feel it’s going to be a subject of dialog for all you guys till we do it,” Packers coach Matt LaFleur mentioned of Inexperienced Bay’s incapacity to complete. “That’s the underside line.”
How have the Packers change into the NFL’s model of the San Antonio Spurs? Let’s study:
Week 3, 2025, at Cleveland
Inexperienced Bay 10, Cleveland 0, 3:45 remaining
Odds of profitable: 99%
Last rating: Cleveland 13, Inexperienced Bay 10
What occurred?: The Browns scored the ultimate 13 factors of the sport, together with a 55-yard discipline aim from kicker Andre Szmyt as time expired.
Within the closing 4 minutes, Jordan Love threw an interception that was returned to Inexperienced Bay’s 4-yard line, Brandon McManus had a 43-yard discipline aim blocked, and Szymt delivered the ultimate blow with a protracted discipline aim.
It was the primary time since Week 3, 2003, that the Browns gained a recreation after being held scoreless via three quarters
“It’s like a film generally how soccer works,” Inexperienced Bay edge rusher Micah Parsons mentioned that day. “We’ve to complete video games. We had an opportunity, a number of probabilities to finish the sport, we didn’t try this.”
Week 16, 2025, at Chicago
Inexperienced Bay 16, Chicago 6, 2:05 remaining
Odds of profitable: 99%
Last rating: Chicago 22, Inexperienced Bay 16 (OT)
What occurred: The Bears scored the ultimate 10 factors of regulation, then gained it when Caleb Williams hit D.J. Moore with a 46-yard TD cross halfway via extra time.
The important thing play got here when Inexperienced Bay’s Romeo Doubs fumbled an onside kick with 1:59 remaining and the Packers holding a 16-9 lead. The Bears then drove for a game-tying rating when Williams threw a fourth down TD cross to rookie wideout Jahdae Walker.
“If you put a lot effort and care into what you do and also you care about it a lot, it’s extra offended and disillusioned,” mentioned Packers quarterback Malik Willis, who performed the final 2 ½ quarters after starter Jordan Love suffered a concussion. “You make a pair errors and the sport may go the best way that you simply don’t need it to go, and that’s what’s unlucky.”
NFC Wild Card spherical, at Chicago
Inexperienced Bay 27, Chicago 16, 4:55 remaining
Odds of profitable: 96%
Last rating: Chicago 31, Inexperienced Bay 27
What occurred: The Packers’ second half was an unmitigated catastrophe.
Inexperienced Bay held a 21-3 halftime lead and analytics mentioned their odds of profitable have been between 96-97%. The Packers’ odds have been nonetheless in that neighborhood after Matthew Golden’s landing catch with 6 ½ minutes left and when Chicago had a third-and-10 from Inexperienced Bay’s 30 with below 5 minutes left.
However Chicago quarterback Caleb Williams led the Bears on two landing drives that took lower than 3 ½ minutes. Inexperienced Bay’s Brandon McManus missed an additional level and a discipline aim down the stretch. And the Packers’ closing offensive possession — and their season — died on the Bears’ 28-yard line.
“That (expletive), it’s beginning to get damn-near embarrassing,” security Javon Bullard mentioned that night time in Chicago.
Week 1, 2026, at Minnesota
Inexperienced Bay 22, Minnesota 10, 2:30 remaining within the third quarter
Odds of profitable: 90%
Last rating: Minnesota 39, Inexperienced Bay 22
What occurred?: The Vikings scored late within the third quarter to drag inside 22-17.
Inexperienced Bay briefly took a 25-17 lead early within the fourth quarter on a Trey Smack discipline aim. When the Vikings have been off sides on the play, although, Inexperienced Bay took the factors off the board, went for it on fourth-and-1, however have been stopped on a quarterback sneak.
Minnesota then ripped off 22 unanswered factors in simply 2 minutes, 42 seconds and turned a 22-17 deficit right into a 39-22 lead. The Packers had two turnovers in that stretch and the protection melted down.
“We’ve bought to discover a strategy to execute in these vital moments,” Inexperienced Bay vast receiver Christian Watson mentioned. “We’ve bought to discover a strategy to (have) all 11 on the identical web page on offense, protection, particular groups, all the things. It comes right down to essential moments within the recreation and we’ve bought to discover a strategy to come out on high of these if we need to come out on high of the sport.”
The Packers spent a lot of their offseason specializing in ending. But, when push got here to shove Sunday, it was wash, rinse, repeat.
“It simply sucks the best way we ended that recreation proper there to lose,” quarterback Jordan Love mentioned. “It sucks.”
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