Goal knowledge is one thing we at all times want to contemplate, nevertheless it doesn't cease there. Each week we'll leap into the spreadsheets to strive to determine what's happening with pass-catchers — who's popping (or slumping) and among the the reason why.
Open up these spreadsheets and let's see what we discover.
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Kyren Williams receiving his due
We usually need items of the Sean McVay offense, and for many of the summer time, Blake Corum was a goal participant of mine. Corum had a meaty function within the second half of 2025 and didn't really feel that totally different than starter Kyren Williams. This wasn't a full-on fade of Williams — I did draft him right here and there — however Corum was the popular decide at value.
Nevertheless it's a snow globe league, and our opinions are allowed to alter. And thru 4 weeks of the recent season, Williams seems like he was the fitting reply all alongside.
Williams sits because the RB6 by means of the opening quarter, whereas Corum is the RB44. The backfield was near a 50-50 break up for 2 weeks (Williams had 28 touches, Corum had 23), however Willams took over the previous two video games. Williams has 47 touches over that interval, in comparison with simply 14 for Corum.
Corum actually hasn't completed something incorrect. He's at 4.9 YPC, an excellent quantity. However Williams has a good higher 5.4 YPC,, and his 64.8% success charge is the very best within the league. And out of nowhere, Williams has stepped up his receiving recreation.
Williams began the receiving spike with a 6-70-0 haul at Denver in Week 3. And he was liberally used as a receiver in final week's comeback recreation with the Eagles, drawing 13 targets and placing up 10-76-0. These two yardage totals signify the very best receiving video games of Williams' five-year profession. He now ranks second amongst all working backs in targets, receptions and yards (Jahmyr Gibbs is first in all three of these classes).
I don't need to misrepresent what this possible means. Williams isn't working intricate routes — we're not speaking about peak Marshall Faulk right here. And sometimes working backs accumulate a bunch of receptions when two issues coalesce — the protection is conceding a brief cross (most likely as a result of it has a lead) and the quarterback is prepared to take it. Matthew Stafford hasn't thrown that a lot to his backs lately. And if the Rams play with a lead extra typically in coming weeks, Williams may see his receiving work drop off.
However the final two weeks have proven how a lot the Rams belief Williams in hurry-up spots and unfavourable recreation scripts. Williams at all times held borderline RB1 worth if the Rams restricted his receiving work and used him on about 60% of the backfield touches. However the shift in utilization makes us reevaluate what Williams is likely to be. Williams landed within the third spherical for the ultimate few weeks of draft season, however he's taking part in like a second-round decide — maybe an early-second-round decide — by means of the opening quarter. And Corum's presumed standalone worth seems lifeless for the time being.
That's the place the snow sits now, anyway. Let's see what settles after the globe will get one other shake.
Carnell Tate is taking off
We regularly discuss how participant growth isn't at all times linear. Now we have to be open-minded to totally different paths to enchancment.
That mentioned, there's one thing refreshing when a participant does present comparatively linear development. And that's been the story with Tennessee rookie WR Carnell Tate.
Tate's weekly scan seems like this: WR55, WR70, WR40, WR11. His busiest video games have come within the final two weeks, and in Week 4's loss to the Ravens, he returned a 9-145-0 line, on 12 targets.
Cam Ward has posted a 94.3 ranking and an 8.4 YPA when he targets Tate this yr. Ward drops to a 77.6 ranking and 5.3 YPA when concentrating on all the things else.
Wan'Dale Robinson received't full disappear, after all — OC Brian Daboll wouldn't hear of it. Ward really has a 111.3 ranking when concentrating on Robinson, bumped by the 2 quick touchdowns. However Robinson's averaging simply 5.3 yards per goal and seven.7 yards per reception. The Titans are clever to let Tate take over this goal tree.
Tate additionally exhibits up on one in every of my favourite leaderboards — the Diontae Johnson leaderboard. That is my foolish approach of framing gamers who’ve probably the most targets with no landing, a nod to what Johnson did in 2022 (zero touchdowns on 147 targets). Any participant receiving common work with none landing luck is a screaming candidate for optimistic regression. In brief, goal these guys.
Tate shall be an attention-grabbing participant to observe in Week 5, when he faces the Houston protection. The Texans have been thought of the very best protection within the AFC earlier than the season, however Houston has allowed probably the most fantasy factors huge receivers by means of 4 weeks. The remainder of the month additionally seems favorable for Tate — video games towards Indianapolis, Cleveland and Cincinnati.
Isaiah Probably enters the chat
Vainness Tight Finish has been a combined bag for the opening month. Brock Bowers missed two video games however he's been a smash since, simply the very best per-game averages on the place. Trey McBride is the TE2, a bankable weekly star. Tyler Warren sits at TE11, a slight disappointment however there's time for enchancment. And the much less we are saying about Colston Loveland this yr, the higher.
I went into most of my drafts concentrating on Juwan Johnson late and to this point, so good (TE3). However that technique stored me away from Probably this yr, and possibly that's been a mistake. Nothing incorrect with a balanced portfolio.
The counting stats all assist Probably's TE6 begin. He's second on the place in targets, tenth in yards. His first recreation with Jameis Winston beginning was a multitude (2-13-0), however Winston performed quite a bit higher final week and Probably returned a 7-66-0 line (12 targets).
What's particularly encouraging is the Giants need Prone to be a featured participant. He's drawn a first-read goal on 34.1% of performs, eleventh general and third on the place (behind the plain stars, Bowers and McBride). That quantity has really gone up within the Winston begins — Probably has a 37.1% charge over the previous two video games.
We prefer to draft tight ends who could be the primary or second learn of their offenses, and Probably checks that field. Solely Malik Nabers is a problem to his targets; Malachi Fields and Darnell Mooney aren't main priorities proper now, and Cam Skattebo has simply 9 targets. Probably can be getting a ton of slot work (82.4%), the place the throws are simpler to make and faster to outline. Even when the YPC doesn't spike this yr, Probably is an effective wager to beat his summer time ADP.
Statistics from Fantasy Factors and Professional Soccer Reference have been used within the analysis and composition of this text.